Sunday, December 19, 2010

Recovery for Madoff victims at halfway point


Recovery for Madoff victims at halfway point

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- $10 billion down ... $10 billion more to go.

Investigators have jumped a major hurdle in recouping the money stolen by Ponzi mastermind Bernard Madoff. In squeezing out the largest forfeiture settlement in U.S. history, the government is about halfway done recovering the stolen assets of history's largest Ponzi scheme.

Preet Bharara, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, Irving Picard, the court-appointed trustee in the asset recovery process, and other federal investigators reached a $7.2 billion settlement with the widow of Jeffry Picower, Madoff's biggest beneficiary.

Picower, who died of a heart attack last year, withdrew $7.8 billion from Madoff's investment firm since the 1970s, even though he only deposited $619 million, according to the trustee.

That's why the feds went after Picower's widow, Barbara, for $7.2 billion. The settlement, combined with the $2.6 billion that was already recovered from other sources, means that investigators are nearly halfway to recovering $20 billion in stolen assets.

The investigators have been busy in the two years since Madoff's arrest, scouring the earth for his assets, including his $7 million Manhattan penthouse, his homes in France and Florida, his yacht named "The Bull," and his gem-studded watches.

The U.S. Marshals have put many of the items on the auction block. The value of some of the items, like his wife Ruth's diamond-encrusted Tiffany jewelry, is obvious. Other items, like the satin Mets jacket with the name "Madoff" emblazoned on the back, brought nearly $15,000 at auction despite its lack of precious stones.

All of this has added up to billions of dollars that will be used to compensate the victims. The trustee has acknowledged nearly $5.9 billion worth of claims from 2,363 claimants. A portion of that money -- $768 million -- will be covered by insurance from the Securities Investor Protection Corp. The rest of it will be covered by seized assets.

The majority of the $20 billion in losses has not yet been recognized by the trustee. According to SIPC President Stephen Harbeck, most of those outstanding losses were suffered by hedge funds that withdrew money they had invested with Madoff's firm. The losses will not be recognized until they pay back the money they withdrew, he said.

Madoff ruined thousands, including his son
The trustee is also using litigation to hunt down the money. Picard aggressively ramped up litigation in recent weeks, filing lawsuits against Madoff family members for tens of millions of dollars, including Madoff's son Mark, who killed himself last week on the second anniversary of his father's arrest.

The trustee has also sued at least 400 investors who, like Picower, withdrew more than they deposited into Madoff's firm. But unlike Picower, some of those investors wound up destitute once the firm collapsed at the end of 2008. With the understanding that many of the investors did not know they were benefiting from a Ponzi scheme, the trustee said he might drop some of the suits in "hardship" cases.

The trustee has also sued financial firms for their alleged involvement with Madoff, including UBS (UBS), JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) and HSBC (HBC). His accountants have also been sued, for $900 million, amid allegations that they helped him conceal the fraud.

The largest lawsuit occurred on Dec. 11, the day before the second anniversary of Madoff's arrest. That's when the trustee sued Austrian banker Sonja Kohn, along with Bank Austria, UniCredit and six of her family members, for a whopping $19.6 billion.

The trustee accused Kohn of wooing fresh victims and funneling them into Madoff's Ponzi scheme. Madoff allegedly paid her to do this for decades, starting in the 1980s.


Madoff ran what is believed to be the longest-running Ponzi scheme ever. The toll is massive, with more than 16,000 people claiming to have been victimized. The majority of them, more than 60%, will never get their money back because they're considered "third party" investors who put their money into feeder funds.

Madoff was able to fool feeder funds and individuals by masquerading as a Wall Street wizard, even though his investment firm was nothing more than a front for a pyramid-style scam. Instead of investing the money, he stole it. In order to keep this going, he needed a constant stream of fresh victims so he could make payments to more mature investors, while fraudulently presenting these payments as legitimate returns.

Eventually, the funds dried up and his scam collapsed. Madoff was arrested on Dec. 12, 2008, and pleaded guilty the following March. He is currently languishing in a medium security federal prison in Butner, N.C., where he is serving a 150-year sentence.

Meanwhile, the hunt for Madoff's money continues.

source: cnn.com

Consumer, Business Spending Probably Increased as U.S. Economy Accelerated


Consumer, Business Spending Probably Increased as U.S. Economy Accelerated

Spending by U.S. consumers and businesses probably accelerated in November, a signal the economy is speeding up at the end of the year, economists forecast before reports this week.

Household purchases rose 0.5 percent after a 0.4 percent increase in October, according to the median estimate of 62 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of Dec. 23 figures from the Commerce Department. The same day, another report from the agency may show demand for durable goods excluding cars and aircraft climbed 2 percent.

Fewer firings and rising incomes are boosting consumer confidence, making it more likely spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, will keep improving. At the same time, factories are ramping up production as gains in exports reinforce growing demand from U.S. companies, pointing to a more balanced and durable recovery.

“We really have started to see improvements in momentum and more broad-based improvements,” said Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Inc. in Detroit. “We’re on the precipice of getting to an economy that’s sustainable without Fed stimulus.”

The consumer spending report also will show incomes rose 0.2 percent last month after increasing 0.5 percent in October, according to the survey median.

Improving household balance sheets may be helping boost demand during the Christmas holiday period. The International Council of Shopping Centers on Dec. 14 revised its November- December holiday-season sales forecast up by 0.5 percentage point to a range of 3.5 percent to 4 percent.

‘Great Christmas’

“All the brands around the world are having, so far so good, a very great Christmas,” John Demsey, group president of Estee Lauder Cos., said in a Bloomberg Television interview Dec. 15. “Consumer confidence is up and it’s really about the power of the brands and pent up demand that consumers have.”

Auto dealers also are among retailers seeing improved demand. Car sales in November rose to a 12.26 million unit pace, the highest since the government’s cash-for-clunkers program in August 2009, industry data showed this month. Demand over the past three months is the strongest in two years.

The Commerce Department’s report on durable goods will show total orders fell 0.7 percent, reflecting a drop in aircraft demand. Bookings for business equipment excluding defense and planes, items like computers and machinery, rose 3 percent, according to the Bloomberg survey.

‘Extended’ Gains

“We have seen now an extended period of time of recovery in the components business,” Paul Reilly, chief financial officer of Arrow Electronics Inc., said last week at a conference in New York. Melville, New York-based Arrow is a distributor of electronic components and computer products to industrial customers.

The improving economy has boosted stock prices. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has risen 22 percent since reaching a 10-month low on July 2. It is up 5.4 percent so far this month.

The economy grew at a 2.8 percent annual pace in the third quarter, more than the 2.5 percent estimated last month, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The Commerce Department is scheduled to release its second revision for the period on Dec. 22.

Economists in the past two weeks have boosted projections for fourth-quarter growth after the government reported better- than-projected retail sales for November and the Obama administration reached a compromise with congressional Republicans to extend Bush-era tax cuts and introduce new reductions.

Raising Forecasts

JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli forecast the economy will grow at a 3.5 percent pace from October through December, up from a prior estimate of 2.5 percent.

Housing, the industry that triggered the worst recession in seven decades, is struggling to recover after a homebuyers’ tax credit expired and foreclosures keep adding to inventory.

Sales of new and existing homes increased to a combined 5.05 million annual rate in November from 4.71 million the prior month, according to economists surveyed. Purchases averaged a 5.7 million pace in the first six months of the year when the tax break was in effect, and then slumped to 4.12 million in July, the weakest since comparable records began in 1999.

The National Association of Realtors is scheduled to release figures on existing home sales Dec. 22. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected demand for previously owned houses rose 7.2 percent to a 4.75 million rate last month.

The Commerce Department will issue new-home sales data Dec. 23. Purchases climbed 6 percent to a 300,000 pace, according to the Bloomberg survey.

Other reports this week will show initial jobless claims held at 420,000 last week and the Thomson Reuters University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment for December increased to 74.5, the highest reading in six months, according to the survey median.

Bloomberg Survey

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Release Period Prior Median
Indicator Date Value Forecast
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GDP Annual QOQ% 12/22 3Q T 2.5% 2.8%
Personal Consump. QOQ% 12/22 3QT 2.8% 2.8%
GDP Prices QOQ% 12/22 3Q T 2.3% 2.3%
Core PCE Prices QOQ% 12/22 3Q T 0.8% 0.8%
Exist Homes Mlns 12/22 Nov. 4.43 4.75
Exist Homes MOM% 12/22 Nov. -2.2% 7.2%
Durables Orders MOM% 12/23 Nov. -3.4% -0.7%
Durables Ex-Trans MOM% 12/23 Nov. -2.7% 2.0%
Cap Goods Core MOM% 12/23 Nov. -4.3% 3.0%
Pers Inc MOM% 12/23 Nov. 0.5% 0.2%
Pers Spend MOM% 12/23 Nov. 0.4% 0.5%
PCE Deflator YOY% 12/23 Nov. 1.3% 1.1%
Core PCE Prices MOM% 12/23 Nov. 0.0% 0.1%
Core PCE Prices YOY% 12/23 Nov. 0.9% 0.9%
Initial Claims ,000’s 12/23 18-Dec 420 420
U of Mich Conf. Index 12/23 Dec. F 74.2 74.5
New Home Sales ,000’s 12/23 Nov. 283 300
New Home Sales MOM% 12/23 Nov. -8.1% 6.0%
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source: bloomberg.com
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