JPMorgan Expects Banking, Cards to Post Lower Profit

JPMorgan Expects Banking, Cards to Post Lower Profit

May 12 (Bloomberg) -- JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third- biggest U.S. bank, will post lower earnings from investment banking and credit cards this quarter as the U.S. recession gets under way, Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said.

JPMorgan is seeing lower revenue growth in its credit-card business and will probably have to set aside more money to cover bad loans in that unit, as well as in retail and investment banking, Dimon said today at a conference in New York sponsored by UBS AG.

``The recession is just starting,'' Dimon said. ``I don't know if it will be mild or severe.'' The chances of it being ``pretty bad'' are about one in three, the 52-year-old CEO said.

JPMorgan has posted about $10 billion of writedowns and losses since the beginning of last year, compared with more than $40 billion at bigger rival Citigroup Inc. Dimon said the capital markets crisis sparked by last year's collapse of the subprime mortgage market is about 75 percent over.

In home lending, New York-based JPMorgan expects to lose $200 million to $250 million in the second quarter related to subprime mortgages. Losses in prime mortgages, those made to people with the highest credit rating, could increase to about $100 million for the quarter, the bank said.

Dimon also said the integration of Bear Stearns Cos. was ``proceeding well,'' though he urged analysts to wait a year before judging whether the deal was a success. Once the fifth- biggest U.S. securities firm, Bear Stearns was forced to agree to the takeover on March 16 after customers and lenders fled because of speculation that the company faced a cash shortage.

JPMorgan has found jobs for about 40 percent of Bear Stearns's more than 14,000 employees, Dimon said today. All employment decisions are expected by June 1.

BLOOMBERG