Sunday, April 10, 2011

Dimon: $5εκ μπόνους… cash!


Dimon: $5εκ μπόνους… cash!

H εποχή των χρυσών αγελάδων για τα golden boys της Wall Street φαίνεται να επανέρχεται.

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα ο Jamie Dimon, επικεφαλής της JP Morgan Chase, έλαβε μισθολογική αύξηση 51% πέρσι, που περιλαμβάνει μπόνους $5εκ. σε ρευστό.

Συγκεκριμένα, έλαβε stock options αξίας 17 εκατ. δολαρίων και «παροχή κινήτρου σε ρευστό» $5εκ. το 2010, πέρα από το βασικό μισθό του $1εκ.

Ο κ. Dimon έλαβε μεταξύ άλλων 421.458 δολ. για έξοδα κίνησης, 95.293 για προσωπική χρήση αεροσκάφους και 45.730 δολ. για προσωπική χρήση αυτοκινήτου. Επίσης καλύφθηκαν πλήρως τα έξοδα μετακόμισης της οικογένειάς του από το Σικάγο στην Νέα Υόρκη.

Τα καθαρά κέρδη της ήταν $17,4δις το 2010 αυξημένα 50% από το προηγούμενο έτος.

source: sigmalive.com

Retail Sales in U.S. Probably Rose on Job Gains


Retail Sales in U.S. Probably Rose on Job Gains

U.S. retail sales probably climbed in March, indicating an improving labor market is helping Americans cope with rising gasoline prices, economists said before a report this week.

A 0.5 percent gain would follow a 1 percent increase in February, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey ahead of Commerce Department figures April 13. Data this week on consumer and producer prices will probably show food and energy costs rose.

Macy’s Inc. (M) and Saks Inc. (SKS) are among retailers helped by a declining jobless rate and this year’s cut in payroll taxes. At the same time, bigger fuel and grocery bills are squeezing household budgets and eroding confidence, underscoring forecasts consumer spending cooled in the first quarter.

“Job growth is strengthening, which will be the main driver of spending,” said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. Nonetheless, “we’ve got higher fuel and food costs, and house prices are still falling.”

Higher gasoline prices probably contributed to the forecast gain in retail sales, which include purchases at filling stations and aren’t adjusted for inflation. Regular fuel jumped to $3.74 a gallon on April 7, the highest since September 2008, according to AAA, the nation’s biggest motoring organization.

Industry reports last week showed stores fared better than forecast. Retailers’ same-store sales rose 2.2 percent from March 2010, while the average projection was for a 0.5 percent drop, according to Retail Metrics Inc. Chains weathered a later Easter. In 2010, the holiday had pulled sales into March when it occurred on April 4, 20 days earlier than this year.

Topping Estimates
Cincinnati-based Macy’s, the second-largest U.S. department-store chain, reported an increase in sales, while analysts projected a decline. Luxury retailers Saks, Nordstrom Inc. (JWN) and Neiman Marcus Group Inc. also topped estimates.

The Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Retailing Index has risen 3.8 percent this year through April 8, while the broader S&P 500 advanced 5.6 percent.

The Commerce Department may also report that sales excluding automobiles and service stations rose 0.4 percent in March after a 0.6 percent gain the prior month, economists said.

Industrywide light-vehicle sales ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 13.1 million in March, after 13.4 million the prior month, according to researcher Autodata Corp. Sales jumped 16 percent at Ford Motor Co., based in Dearborn, Michigan, outpacing Detroit-based General Motors Co.’s 9.6 percent gain.

‘Solid’ Progress
“We continue to see good, solid signs of progress despite some of the challenges,” Don Johnson, GM’s vice president of U.S. sales operations, said on an April 1 conference call. “A recovering job market is going to be the most important factor for the U.S. economy at this stage, and we do anticipate that this is going to continue to improve.”

The economy created 216,000 jobs last month, the most since May 2010, the Labor Department said April 1. The jobless rate fell for a fourth straight month, to a two-year low of 8.8 percent.

The Labor Department on April 15 may report that the cost of living index rose 0.5 percent last month from February and was up 2.6 percent from March 2010, according to the Bloomberg survey median. Core prices, which exclude volatile food and fuel, likely rose 0.2 percent for a third consecutive month.

Labor Department figures earlier in the week may show wholesale prices and the cost of goods imported into the U.S. also climbed. So-called producer prices probably rose 1 percent in March, while import prices increased 2.2 percent.

Fed’s View
Federal Reserve officials noted at their March 15 meeting that the job market was improving and the 2011 cut in payroll taxes was boosting after-tax incomes. Still, falling house prices remained a drag on wealth, and higher oil and gasoline costs reduced purchasing power and weighed on consumer confidence, they said.

“While participants expected that household spending would continue to expand, the pace of expansion was uncertain,” policy makers said in minutes of the meeting released April 5. “Economic growth would strengthen over coming quarters while remaining moderate.” They also said the effects on inflation of the run-up in commodity prices “would prove transitory.”

The Fed’s Beige Book survey, due April 13, may reinforce the outlook for growth and inflation.

Manufacturing continues to lead the recovery, helped by an expanding global economy. Faster-growing markets such as China lifted demand for U.S.-made goods, helping to trim the trade deficit in February, the Commerce Department may report on April 12. The gap between exports and imports shrank to $44 billion from $46.3 billion in January, according to the Bloomberg survey median.

Also this week, Fed data may show industrial production rebounded in March, according to the Bloomberg survey.

Bloomberg Survey

==============================================================
Release Period Prior Median
Indicator Date Value Forecast
==============================================================
Trade Balance $ Blns 4/12 Feb. -46.3 -44.0
Retail Sales MOM% 4/13 March 1.0% 0.5%
Retail ex-autos MOM% 4/13 March 0.7% 0.7%
Retail exauto/gas MOM% 4/13 March 0.6% 0.4%
Business Inv. MOM% 4/13 Feb. 0.9% 0.8%
PPI MOM% 4/14 March 1.6% 1.0%
Core PPI MOM% 4/14 March 0.2% 0.2%
CPI MOM% 4/15 March 0.5% 0.5%
Core CPI MOM% 4/15 March 0.2% 0.2%
Ind. Prod. MOM% 4/15 March 0.0% 0.5%
Cap. Util. % 4/15 March 77.0% 77.4%
U of Mich Conf. Index 4/15 March P 67.5 69.0
=============================================================

source: bloomberg.com

China Reports First Quarterly Trade Deficit in Seven Years


China Reports First Quarterly Trade Deficit in Seven Years

China’s first quarterly trade deficit in seven years may ease pressure on the world’s biggest exporter to allow faster appreciation of the yuan.

Asia’s largest economy had a deficit of $1.02 billion in the first three months of the year compared with a surplus of $13.9 billion a year earlier, the customs bureau said on its website today. Imports jumped 32.6 percent to a quarterly record of $400.7 billion, helped by stronger domestic demand and higher global commodity prices, the bureau said.

China’s trading partners, including the U.S., say faster yuan appreciation is needed to help address global imbalances that contributed to the financial crisis. Premier Wen Jiabao said last month exchange-rate reform must be gradual to maintain social stability, and that boosting domestic demand is the best way the nation can contribute.

“This is a sign that China’s rebalancing efforts are advancing more rapidly than many had thought and it will take some heat off the pressure for faster yuan gains,” said Shen Jianguang, a Hong Kong-based economist at Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd. He expects the trade surplus to drop to below $150 billion this year from $183 billion last year.

The trade surplus was $196 billion in 2009, down from a record $295 billion in 2008, customs data show. The gap will decline this year as exporters come under pressure from rising labor and raw material costs and imports are supported by strong domestic demand, Shen said.

Imports Surge
The surge in commodity prices, which contributed to the first-quarter trade deficit, is adding to inflationary pressure. That may prompt the government to allow faster yuan appreciation.

Inbound crude oil shipments in the first quarter rose 12 percent by volume and 39 percent by value to $43.7 billion, according to today’s customs data. The cost of iron ore imports jumped 82.5 percent to $27.7 billion while the amount of metal climbed 14.4 percent.

“China is still facing strong pressure from imported inflation,” said Liu Li-Gang, an economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Hong Kong who formerly worked for the World Bank. “While the authorities can use fiscal subsidies to offset this, the exchange rate tool is more effective to contain imported inflation.”

Liu forecasts the yuan will rise 6 percent against the dollar this year. China has held the gains to 4 percent in the past year, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner continuing to describe the currency as “substantially undervalued.” The yuan reached a 17-year high of 6.5350 per dollar on April 8.

Record Reserves
China’s previous quarterly trade deficit was more than $8 billion in the first three months of 2004.

The unexpected $140 million surplus last month compared with the median forecast for a deficit of $3.35 billion in a Bloomberg News survey of 24 economists.

Imports in March jumped by more than economists estimated, rising 27.3 percent from a year earlier to a record $152 billion, the customs bureau said. Exports also climbed by more than expected, surging 35.8 percent to $152.2 billion and close to December’s record of $154 billion, customs data show.

Trade surpluses and currency controls have boosted China’s foreign-exchange reserves to a world record and highlighted global economic imbalances that governments from the biggest economies are debating how to resolve.

While the U.S. focuses on the yuan as a cause of an imbalance in bilateral trade, China highlights U.S. restrictions on exports of high-technology products.

China’s central bank will announce in coming days the latest figures for the nation’s foreign-exchange holdings, which climbed to $2.98 trillion in the first quarter, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of economists.

source: bloomberg.com

Obama Reached Breaking Point in Budget Talks After Tense Hour With Boehner


Obama Reached Breaking Point in Budget Talks After Tense Hour With Boehner

For more than an hour in an Oval Office meeting on April 7, House Speaker John Boehner had insisted that any compromise on the government’s budget include a prohibition on federal funding for Planned Parenthood.

Obama already had reluctantly agreed to a provision banning the District of Columbia from spending funds on abortion services -- and that was as far as he would go.

“Nope, zero,” he told Boehner, according to a senior Democratic aide. “John, this is it.” The room went silent.

The tense negotiations culminating in a last-minute deal the next night to avert a government shutdown underscored the challenges facing both Boehner and Obama as they tackle the fiscal issues that will dominate the debate during the next two years in Washington.

“This will be a tough fight,” David Plouffe, senior White House adviser, said in an interview with ABC’s “This Week” program. “If we can strive to find common ground, and I’m not suggesting this is going to be easy, we will be able to get this done.”

Looming struggles to raise the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling and craft next year’s budget will help shape the country’s economic future and define the 2012 presidential race. The fight to fund the government through the Sept. 30 close of the fiscal year resulted in what Obama said were some “painful” spending cuts. Yet it was only the initial test of how both leaders will navigate the dangers of divided government.

‘A Good Exercise’
“It’s the first time we all worked under these new parameters we are in, so we’ve had to learn each other,” said House Appropriations Committee Chairman Hal Rogers, a Kentucky Republican, who participated in the talks. “It was a good exercise in that respect because we will know next time -- and there will be many times -- we will know next time more how to handle these kinds of things.”

“Things got heated,” Plouffe said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” today. “The president’s approach was to try and engage all the parties to come together. Going forward this can be a model.”

The deal averted the furlough of 800,000 federal employees, the closure of federal facilities such as national parks and the Smithsonian Institution in Washington and a delay in processing tax returns.

While officials warned of economic consequences from a shutdown, financial markets have shown little concern about U.S. fiscal health. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield was at 3.58 percent on Friday, below the average of 7 percent since 1980, reflecting expectations a deal would be reached, said John Lonski, chief economist at Moody’s Capital Markets Group.

Obama Draws Complaints
For weeks, Obama, 49, stayed out of direct negotiations over the budget accord, sparking complaints from lawmakers in both parties on Capitol Hill that he waited too long to get involved. He spoke to Boehner, 61, directly just twice between Feb. 19, when the House passed its budget bill, and April 2, according to Republican aides.

Serious negotiations only began after Republicans passed the sixth stopgap spending measure on March 15, funding the government through April 8. Fifty-four Republicans voted against the bill, forcing Boehner to rely on Democrats to pass the measure and making it clear that another short-term extension wouldn’t be tolerated by the Tea Party-wing of his conference, which is pressing hardest for deficit reduction.

Heated Meeting
The two sides struggled even to agree on a baseline for how much spending to cut. Formal talks stalled after a heated March 22 meeting, at which a Republican Appropriations aide insisted on using as a starting point the House bill that included $61 billion in spending cuts, said one of the people familiar with the talks. Democrats offered to cut $10 billion.

Six days later, White House Chief of Staff William Daley reinvigorated discussions when he suggested that Democrats could accept another $20 billion in cuts. The staffs began working on a deal that would slash $33 billion in spending, according to aides.

Negotiations suffered another setback on March 30, however, when Vice President Joe Biden announced the $33 billion number to reporters after a meeting on Capitol Hill. That fueled reports of a tentative deal and angered Republican negotiators, who feared a Tea Party backlash.

Tea Party Protest
As Tea Party activists protested outside the Capitol, chanting “shut it down” in a chilly drizzle, Boehner disputed the reports of a deal.

“There is no agreement on a set of numbers, and nothing will be agreed to until everything’s agreed to,” he told reporters.

Behind closed doors, however, he began selling the idea of a compromise to his caucus, reminding the 87 new Republican House members that his party controls only that chamber and lacks the influence to impose its will on the Democratic- controlled Senate and White House.

In private meetings, Boehner argued that a shutdown could have catastrophic effects for the party by handing Democrats a political “win.”

“He put it in context,” said Representative Dan Lungren, of California. “He said, ‘Look, nobody is going to get 100 percent of what they want,’ including him.”

Ryan’s Plan
The release of House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan’s 2012 budget plan on April 5 helped convince some lawmakers to back a compromise, said House Republican aides. While party leaders debated whether releasing the Ryan proposal would complicate the talks, the Wisconsin Republican’s ambitious plan calling for an overhaul of Medicare and Medicaid and deep cuts reassured some members they would get additional opportunities to spotlight their efforts to slash spending.

“We’ve got a few months left in this fiscal year; let’s reduce the size of government, and let’s focus on 2012,” said Representative Adam Kinzinger, a freshman from Illinois.

Republicans also introduced a weeklong funding bill that would cut $12 billion in spending and fund the Defense Department through the end of the year. The White House vowed to veto such a proposal, called the “troop funding bill” by Republicans.

Still, Republican aides say the measure put additional pressure on Democrats to agree to cuts by positioning them between funding soldiers and shutting down the government.

Policy Riders
On April 6, Obama, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Daley, Biden, Boehner, White House budget director Jacob Lew and top aides convened in the White House to try to design a framework for the deal. Boehner said he wouldn’t propose a bottom or top-line number, because the spending cuts depended on the number of so-called policy riders that Democrats would agree to include in the final deal.

Democrats tried to force Boehner to accept $33 billion, according to Republican aides familiar with the negotiations. He refused, and Democrats left the meeting doubtful they would reach a deal, though the lawmakers agreed to reconvene.

The next night, the parties reached agreement on the broad composition of a bill that included $38 billion in cuts. Yet the sticking point remained the Planned Parenthood funding ban, which Republicans said was non-negotiable.

Democrats were adamant that it not be in the bill, knowing the provision would inflame their base and could alienate the independent voters whose support Obama will need to win a second term.

Frustration
Toward the end of the meeting, after repeated efforts to insert the family planning rider, an exasperated Biden said the administration was prepared to “take it to the American people” and allow a shutdown over an issue unrelated to government spending.

Aides headed back to the Capitol around 11:45 p.m. and by 3 a.m., talks had stalled. Republican aides were asking for more than $40 billion in cuts and standing firm on the abortion provisions.

The following morning, after not hearing from Boehner, Obama called the speaker and relayed his frustrations that the current state of negotiations didn’t reflect their talks from the night before.

Breakthrough
The breakthrough came on the morning of April 8, when Republicans embraced an idea originally proposed by Senator Dick Durbin, of Illinois, to hold an up-or-down vote on the most contentious policy amendments.

As aides hammered out the final language, the lawmakers stayed in constant contact. Obama and Boehner spoke four times on April 8, and the president called Reid repeatedly, with a few calls just minutes apart.

Boehner called his conference together at noon and again at 9:45 p.m. to present an almost-final version of the deal, rattling off a list of items including health-care and abortion votes to Republican applause.

“He went through item by item and said, ‘This isn’t all, this isn’t all,’” said Representative Darrell Issa, a California Republican.

Best He Could
Boehner told members he had gotten the best deal he could, given that Republicans control only the House, and that they had changed the debate to focus on cutting spending rather than approving new programs.

“We control one half of one third of the government,” Issa told reporters as he left the meeting. “We don’t mandate anything.”

Forty-five minutes later, aides shook hands on a final deal and Daley, Obama’s chief of staff, called the president in his residence to tell him a deal had been reached. At 11:04 p.m., Obama addressed the American people from the White House Blue Room, with the Washington Monument lit behind him.

“Tomorrow, I’m pleased to announce that the Washington Monument, as well as the entire federal government, will be open for business.”

source: bloomberg.com
Share |